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Friday, June 17, 2005

Texans Predictions

As I was reviewing the 2005 schedule today, I realized something: The Texans could very easily regress in the win column this season. The only probable "gimmes" on the schedule are Cleveland and San Francixxxco. I know the Oilers are down, but I would not underestimate the impact Norm Chow can have on their offense. He could be the second coming of Steve Spurrier, but I don't think you can chalk up two Ws against the Bud's team just yet. The rest of the schedule looks disturbingly tough--road games against Buffalo and Baltimore are nothing to sneeze at. If I had to give a game-by-game prediction for the season (in June), it'd look like this:

1. @ Buffalo--L
2. Pittsburgh--L
3. @ Cincy--W
4. Tennessee--W
5. @ Seattle--W
6. Indy--L
7. Cleveland--W
8. @ Jacksonville--L
9. @ Indy--L
10. Kansas City--L
11. St. Louis--W
12. @ Baltimore--L
13. @ Tennessee--L
14. Arizona--W
15. Jacksonville--W
16. S.F.--W

Final Record: 8-8

Obviously, this prediction is subject to change, but 8-8 shouldn't be enough to sniff the playoffs. Rumor is that Bob McNair has made it abundantly clear that he expects a serious push toward the playoffs this year. If that doesn't happen, will Capers be held responsible? And if so, who replaces him? It had better be someone who runs a 3-4, or half of the Texans' defensive roster will be looking for jobs next summer.

4 Comments:

Blogger Scott said...

I'll play...

@ Buffalo - W
Pittsburgh - L
@ Cincy - L
Tennessee - W
@ Seattle - W
Indy - W
Cleveland - W
@ Jax - L
@ Indy - L
KC - W
St. Louis - W
@ Baltimore - L
@ Tennessee - W
Arizona - W
Jacksonville - L
San Franny - W

WOW - That's 10-6, obviously subject to change, but I think (a) this is the year the Texans finally beat Indy and (b) the Oilers may not win a game. Norm Chow will have Pete Caroll on the phone by the end of September.

I think Jacksonville will beat the Texans in the next-to-last game of the season, cinching a plyoff spot over the Texans and cementing the rivalry between the two teams.

And unless the Texans lose 10+ games, Dom Capers goes nowhere. If the Texans win between 6-8 games, either Palmer or Fangio will get the axe, depending on whose side of the ball was more grossly inept (I'm thinking Palmer).

Sat Jun 18, 09:47:00 AM  
Blogger Unknown said...

I came very close to predicting the Indy breakthrough this year, but I can't do it until I actually see how the Texans look after a few games. The Edge situation could be enough of a distraction to Dungy & Co. that their entire season takes a hit.

I respectfully disagree with your coaching analysis. I think Dom is gone if the Texans lose as many games as they did last year, and he could be gone if there is a collapse down the stretch. 8-8 might be enough to save his job; I think 9-7 definitely saves his job. 10-6 will result in a statue being erected outside Reliant in Biggio and Bagwell fashion. As we all know, H-town owners have a proclivity for jumping the gun on enshrining their employees.

Sat Jun 18, 03:52:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Texans are sliding this year. Capers idiotic use of the 3-4 when his personnel are more suited to the 4-3 was already killing the team. This year it'll be worse, because your LB situation is weaker.

But let's talk about something else. How about the fact that Carr is only the second best QB from the '02 draft, behind Harrington?

thepostgame.com is already talking about it. Why aren't you, Mr. Texans fan?

Thu Jun 30, 12:06:00 PM  
Blogger Scott said...

Any website that hypes Harrington as being better than Carr isn't worth the bandwidth it is wasting. And that's not just because I'm a Texans fan.

Mon Aug 01, 03:05:00 PM  

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